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Over 100 Ahmadis at Turkish-Bulgarian frontier face imprisonment, or death if deported

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Over 100 Ahmadis at Turkish-Bulgarian frontier face imprisonment, or death if deported

More than one hundred members of The Ahmadi Religion of Peace and Light, a persecuted religious minority, who presented themselves at the Turkish-Bulgarian border on May 24 requesting asylum face deportation within the next seven to ten days, a decision that will most likely subject them to imprisonment or the death penalty in their home countries, according to a statement issued by the religious group. This is so according to an article published by The Sofia Globe, a Bulgarian independent news outlet aiming to inform for foreign and local readers about Bulgaria, Central and Eastern Europe.

The office of public safety in Edirne is currently holding the detainees, according to the statement.

Turkish Border police denied entry to Ahmadis

On Wednesday, the Turkish border police had denied them entry, violently beaten, forced them back, and detained them.

The statement stated that gunshots were discharged, the individuals were threatened, and their belongings were thrown away. Families, women, children, and the elderly make up this group.

The 104 individuals have been subjected to extreme and systematic forms of religious persecution throughout Muslim-majority nations, the statement said.

It was stated that the reason they encounter persecution is because they adhere to a man named Aba Al-Sadiq, whom they consider to be the anticipated Mahdi.

They adhere to his controversial message, which includes the formation of a new Covenant after Islam.

The controversial teachings of this Covenant include that the headscarf is not required, the month of Ramadan occurs in December, the five daily prayers are abolished, and the consumption of alcohol is permitted. Due to their beliefs, they were labeled as “heretics” and “infidels,” which presented a serious danger to their lives.

In countries including Iran, Iraq, Algeria, Egypt, Morocco, Azerbaijan, and Thailand, they had been beaten, imprisoned, abducted, humiliated, and terrorized, according to the statement.

Ahmadis seeking asylum

They had gathered in Turkey and were on their way to the Turkish-Bulgarian border to exercise their human right to request asylum directly from the Bulgarian Border Police, in accordance with Article 58(4) of the Law on Asylum and Refugees, which states that asylum can be requested with a verbal statement presented to the border police.

In addition, an open letter was sent by the European Border Violence Monitoring Network (BVMN) on May 23, 2023, with 28 human rights organizations and bodies endorsing it, urging the protection of the group and the upholding of their right to claim asylum at the border in accordance with international law, according to the statement.

After being detained at the Edirne public safety office for more than 24 hours, 83 of the group’s members have been transferred to a deportation center, with the remaining 20 members likely to follow. Decisions regarding deportation are anticipated to be made within 36 hours.

Ahmadis detained in Iran

In Iran, in December 2022, members of the Ahmadi Religion of Peace and Light were detained at Evin prison due to their religious beliefs. They were threatened with execution if they did not sign documents to renounce their faith and defame the religion. In a similar fashion, members in Iraq have been subjected to gun attacks on their residences by armed militias, and scholars have called for their execution.

Türkiye’s decision to deport these families would constitute a clear violation of the fundamental principle of non-refoulement, which, under international refugee and human rights law, prohibits the return of individuals to a country where they would face torture, cruel, inhuman, or degrading treatment or punishment, or other irreparable harm.

“We implore Türkiye not to proceed with the deportation of these families to their countries of origins. These families would be put in danger in their countries of origin and Türkiye would be responsible for any loss of life if they are returned to the countries they have escaped from,” said the statement.

The “Via Dinarica” eco-trail will connect Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina

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The project includes the extension of the Via Dinarica greenway with around 500 kilometers of new paths and the maintenance of existing paths

In Sarajevo, the “Via Dinarica” project was presented, within the framework of which the green path will be continued, which is financed by the European Union as part of the IPA program for cross-border cooperation between Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina, the Bosnian FENA agency reported. quoted by BTA.

The head of the “Via Dinarica” project at the Regional Development Agency in Zlatibor, Miroslav Ivanovich, told the FENA agency that in 24 months, all activities for the creation of a new path in Eastern Bosnia and Herzegovina and Western Serbia will be completed.

“This project takes the Via Dinarica to Serbia, which was not included until now. Within the project, it will be necessary to determine where exactly the road will pass from Sarajevo to the border with Serbia and through western Serbia to the border with Montenegro, it will be carried out trail marking and will be placed on signs,” Ivanovich explained.

The goal of the project, he added, is to network mountaineering societies and other players in the tourism market to commit to working together to maintain, promote and continue the trail.

All information about the route, services and cultural and historical attractions will be available on the Via Dinarica website, as well as on the world-renowned platform for outdoor activities – Outdoor.

Assistant Director of the Tourism Organization of Serbia Vesna Zlatić told FENA that the project represents a significant enrichment of the tourism offer of Serbia, therefore the intention is to achieve greater visibility of this project, within the framework of which hard-to-reach natural areas will be mapped .

The project manager for Bosnia and Herzegovina, Zehrudin Isakovic, specified that the project includes the extension of the Via Dinarica greenway with about 500 kilometers of new paths and maintenance of the existing paths, as well as improving the infrastructure and connectivity of all stakeholders – from those who have accommodations, next to mountain societies.

The Green Path passes through some of the lower parts of the Dinarides and features hundreds of kilometers of well-preserved bike lanes, rich flora and fauna.

“Via Dinarica” stretches from Albania to Slovenia and encompasses the largest karst area on the planet.

Photo: Via Dinarica map.jpg

The blind will “see”, the paralyzed will “feel” – with a chip in the brain

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chip in the brain – A fundamental problem – we do not know where and how thoughts are stored in the brain

Chips in the brain will help blind people “see” and paralyzed people feel again. Technology can also make telepathy between people possible, writes Deutsche Welle. What are brain-computer interfaces?

“The future will be strange” – the prophetic words of Elon Musk were spoken by him in 2020, while explaining the possible application of brain implants developed by his neurotechnology company Neuralink.

For the past 7 years, she has been working on a computer chip that is implanted in the human brain. From there, he monitors the activity of thousands of neurons. The chip, which is thought to be a “brain-computer interface” (BCI), consists of a tiny probe containing more than 3,000 electrodes attached to flexible threads, each thinner than a human hair.

Musk’s idea is to connect the brain to computers so that information and memories can be retrieved from the depths of consciousness. As well as using this technology to treat conditions such as blindness and paralysis, the businessman has ambitions to use Neuralink to achieve telepathy between people. According to the tech mogul, this will help humanity prevail in the war with artificial intelligence. He also announced that he wanted the technology to give people “supervision”.

Science fiction or reality?

Are at least some of these bold intentions feasible? The short answer is no.

ʺWe can’t read people’s minds. The amount of information we can decode from the brain is very limited, says Giacomo Valle, a neuroengineer at the University of Chicago in the US.

Juan Alvaro Gallego, a brain-computer interface researcher at Imperial College London, UK, agrees. “The fundamental problem is that we don’t actually know where and how thoughts are stored in the brain. We can’t read thoughts if we don’t understand the neurology behind them,” he explained to DW.

Musk first introduced the technology in 2019 using a pig with a Neuralink chip implanted in its brain and a video of a monkey mind-controlling a ping pong video game.

But the potential of the brain-computer interface goes far beyond animals playing computer games. Gallego says the technology was first developed to help paralyzed people with spinal cord injuries or those suffering from conditions like Locked-In Syndrome. With it, the patient is fully conscious, but cannot move any part of his body except the eyes. If we could turn the internal communication of these patients into a computer language, it would change a lot of things, Gallego points out.

In fact, the brain-computer interface does not record the thoughts themselves, but rather sends signals to the body to make a certain movement, for example with a finger, hand or foot, or to open the mouth in order to make a sound. The scientists also demonstrated that they can read the motor cortex’s intention to spell a given letter, Gallego says.

The paralyzed will be able to feel again

Another breakthrough was publicly displayed in 2016, when then-US President Barack Obama shook Nathan Copeland’s robotic hand. The man paralyzed after a car accident felt Obama’s handshake as if the two had touched skin to skin.

Instead of using electrodes to record from the brain and interpret planned movements, the brain is stimulated with weak currents to induce sensation, Gallego explains. A brain-computer interface was implanted in Copeland’s brain to improve the functioning of a damaged part of his nervous system. The device, made by a Neuralink competitor, was inserted into his sensory cortex and connected to sensors on the ends of his robotic arm.

ʺThese technologies have been around for a while. “Deep brain stimulation has been used to help hundreds of thousands with Parkinson’s disease since the 1990s,” Gallego added.

Brain surgery for everyone?

So far, brain-computer interfaces are only used in special, exceptional cases, and Neuralink’s technology has only been tested on animals. All clinical applications are still at the development stage and have not entered clinical practice, explains neuroengineer Giacomo Valle.

Last year, Neuralink tried to get approval from federal regulators to test the technology on humans, but authorities rejected the request because of serious safety concerns. The company’s device consists of 96 tiny, flexible probes that are placed separately from each other in the brain.

Doubts about safety are not at all unfounded, since even if the invasive procedure is successful, the risks of infection or immune rejection of the device remain long after implantation. Musk’s company is expected to renew its request later this year.

The birth of neuroethics

Valle also points out that the brain-computer interface raises “various ethical issues.” This technology also marks the beginning of a completely new field – neuroethics. It is here that discussions begin to resemble science fiction. But in the end, the role of science fiction is just that – to prepare the world for what may appear in the future.

Trafficking in the Sahel: Killer cough syrup and fake medicine

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Trafficking in the Sahel: Killer cough syrup and fake medicine

This feature, which focuses on the illegal trade in substandard and fake medicines, is part of a UN News series exploring the fight against trafficking in the Sahel.

From ineffective hand sanitizer to fake antimalarial pills, an illicit trade that grew during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 is being meticulously dismantled by the UN and partner countries in Africa’s Sahel region.

Substandard or fake medicines, like contraband baby cough syrup, are killing almost half a million sub-Saharan Africans every year, according to a threat assessment report from the UN Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC).

The report explains how nations in the Sahel, a 6,000-kilometre-wide swath stretching from the Red Sea to the Atlantic, which is home to 300 million people, are joining forces to stop fake medicines at their borders and hold the perpetrators accountable.

This fight is taking place as Sahelians face unprecedented strife: more than 2.9 million people have been displaced by conflict and violence, with armed groups launching attacks that have already shuttered 11,000 schools and 7,000 health centres.

Deadly supply meets desperate demand

Health care is scarce in the region, which has among the world’s highest incidence of malaria and where infectious diseases are one of the leading causes of death.

“This disparity between the supply of and demand for medical care is at least partly filled by medicines supplied from the illegal market to treat self-diagnosed diseases or symptoms,” the report says, explaining that street markets and unauthorized sellers, especially in rural or conflict-affected areas, are sometimes the only sources of medicines and pharmaceutical products.

Estimated malaria incidence rate per 1,000 population at risk, by country, 2020

Fake treatments with fatal results

The study shows that the cost of the illegal medicine trade is high, in terms of health care and human lives.

Fake or substandard antimalarial medicines kill as many as 267,000 sub-Saharan Africans every year. Nearly 170,000 sub-Saharan African children die every year from unauthorized antibiotics used to treat severe pneumonia.

Caring for people who have used falsified or substandard medical products for malaria treatment in sub-Saharan Africa costs up to $44.7 million every year, according to World Health Organization (WHO) estimates.

Counterfeit drugs at a market in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso.

Motley trafficking

Corruption is one of the main reasons that the trade is allowed to flourish.

About 40 per cent of substandard and falsified medical products reported in Sahelian countries between 2013 and 2021 land in the regulated supply chain, the report showed. Products diverted from the legal supply chain typically come from such exporting nations as Belgium, China, France, and India. Some end up on pharmacy shelves.

The perpetrators are employees of pharmaceutical companies, public officials, law enforcement officers, health agency workers and street vendors, all motivated by potential financial gain, the report found.

Traffickers are finding ever more sophisticated routes, from working with pharmacists to taking their crimes online, according to a UNODC research brief on the issue.

While terrorist groups and non-State armed groups are commonly associated with trafficking in medical products in the Sahel, this mainly revolves around consuming medicines or levying “taxes” on shipments in areas under their control.

Snip supply, meet demand

Efforts are under way to adopt a regional approach to the problem, involving every nation in the region. For example, all Sahel countries except Mauritania have ratified a treaty to establish an African medicines agency, and the African Medicines Regulatory Harmonization initiative, launched by the African Union in 2009, aims at improving access to safe, affordable medicine.

All the Sahel countries have legal provisions in place relating to trafficking in medical products, but some laws are outdated, UNODC findings showed. The agency recommended, among other things, revised legislation alongside enhanced coordination among stakeholders.

Custom and law enforcement officers prevent huge quantities of contraband from entering the markets of destination countries.

Custom and law enforcement officers prevent huge quantities of contraband from entering the markets of destination countries.

States taking action

Law enforcement and judicial efforts that safeguard the legal supply chain should be a priority, said UNODC, pointing to the seizure of some 605 tonnes of fake medicines between 2017 to 2021 by authorities in the region.

Operation Pangea, for example, coordinated by UN partner INTERPOL in 90 countries, targeted online sales of pharmaceutical products. Results saw seizures of unauthorized antivirals rise by 18 per cent and unauthorized chloroquine, to treat malaria, by 100 per cent.

“Transnational organized crime groups take advantage of gaps in national regulation and oversight to peddle substandard and falsified medical products,” UNODC Executive Director Ghada Waly said. “We need to help countries increase cooperation to close gaps, build law enforcement and criminal justice capacity, and drive public awareness to keep people safe.”

Following the death of 70 children in The Gambia in 2022, the World Health Organization identified four contaminated paediatric medicines in the West African nation.

Following the death of 70 children in The Gambia in 2022, the World Health Organization identified four contaminated paediatric medicines in the West African nation.

Crime in a box: CCP fights transnational organized crime by improving containerized trade security

 

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The Orthodox Church of Ukraine is moving to a new calendar

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The Synod of the Orthodox Church of Ukraine approved the transition to the New Julian calendar from September 1, Reuters reports.

This means that the Church will now celebrate Christmas on December 25th instead of January 7th. Other fixed-date holidays will also be moved, but the change will not apply to Easter, as its date varies.

The Church points out that regardless of the Synod’s decision, parishes and monasteries can continue to use the old calendar.

Although the transition to the new calendar must be approved by the local council of the church on July 27 with the participation of the laity, Metropolitan Epiphanius and a number of other bishops clarified that the matter has in fact been resolved and the change will take place from the beginning of September.

It was previously reported that the Ukrainian Greek Catholic Church also intends to switch to another calendar.

In the past, Zelensky’s government has been hesitant to oppose the Moscow-backed church in Ukraine, lest it cross any boundaries of freedom of religious expression or violate European or international norms protecting religious rights. Zelensky did not want to offend the adherents of this church, clearly realizing that in the ranks of its priests and worshipers there are many patriotic Ukrainians, some of whom are fighting on the front lines against the Russians.

But evidence that church leaders were acting to varying degrees as proxies for the enemy caused a shift in opinion amid public pressure for action.

More than 50 priests, according to the latest data, are under investigation for cooperation with Russian forces. One of the most famous is Father Mykola Yevtushenko, who is said to have collaborated with the Russians during their savage 33-day occupation of Bucha, offering blessings to the occupying soldiers and urging his parishioners to welcome the invading forces. As well as trying to support the invasion on behalf of his church, he has also named local residents most likely to resist the occupation of Bucha, a town northwest of Kiev that has become a byword for Russian war crimes.

In September and November, police actions in the buildings of the UOC found pro-Russian literature and Russian passports. Earlier this month, Metropolitan Pavel, abbot of the Lavra, was placed under house arrest ahead of hearings to determine whether he incited religious divisions and praised the Russian invasion. Paul says that the actions against him and the expulsion of the monks from the monastery were politically motivated.

The Kremlin is trying to use as a weapon the actions of the Ukrainian authorities against the UOC for propaganda purposes. In April, Western media outlets, including Politico, and human rights organizations were bombarded by thousands upon thousands of spambot emails purporting to come from ordinary Russian citizens expressing deep concern that Ukraine was “provoking an inter-religious war.” Spam messages from fake accounts claim that the Ukrainian president is throwing monks out into the street in violation of international norms and freedom of religious belief.

Biden announced the first national strategy with more than 100 measures to combat anti-Semitism

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US President Joe Biden announced yesterday a new initiative to fight anti-Semitism, consisting of more than 100 measures that can be taken by the US government and its partners, the Associated Press reported.

Biden pointed out that this is the first US National Strategy to combat anti-Semitism and that it sends a clear message that “evil will not win in America.”

The strategy, months in the making, has four main goals: to understand the causes of anti-Semitism and how it threatens America, to strengthen the security of Jewish communities, to take measures to combat discrimination based on anti-Semitism, and building solidarity and taking common action from different communities in the name of fighting anti-Semitism.

Jewish organizations welcomed the initiative of the American government, notes AP.

At the same time, the US president announced his nomination for the chairmanship of the Joint Chiefs of Staff of the US Armed Forces, Reuters reported.

This is the head of the US Air Force, General Charles Brown.

“General Brown has built a reputation as an unwavering and highly effective leader, a man of teamwork and trust who carries out with distinction” the tasks set, Biden said when announcing the nomination.

Information about Biden’s nomination was announced already on Wednesday. If confirmed by the US Senate, Brown would succeed current Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Mark Milley and become the second black man to hold the post since Colin Powell (who was chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff from 1989 to 1993. ).

Biden urged the Senate to approve Brown’s nomination. So far, however, the timetable for the process of approving Brown’s candidacy is not entirely clear, notes Reuters.

Illustrative Photo by Ksenia Chernaya: https://www.pexels.com/photo/candles-burning-3730952/

UNESCO unveils new AI roadmap for classrooms

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UNESCO unveils new AI roadmap for classrooms

Less than 10 per cent of schools and universities follow formal guidance on using wildly popular artificial intelligence (AI) tools, like the chatbot software ChatGPT, according to the UN Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO), which hosted more than 40 ministers at an groundbreaking online meeting on Thursday.

The ministers exchanged policy approaches and plans while considering the agency’s new roadmap on education and generative AI, which can create data and content based on existing algorithms, but can also make alarming factual errors, just like humans.

“Generative AI opens new horizons and challenges for education, but we urgently need to take action to ensure that new AI technologies are integrated into education on our terms,” said Stefania Giannini, UNESCO’s Assistant Director-General for Education. “It is our duty to prioritize safety, inclusion, diversity, transparency and quality.”

Institutions are facing myriad challenges in crafting an immediate response to the sudden emergence of these powerful AI apps, according to a new UNESCO survey of more than 450 schools and universities.

Rapidly evolving landscape

At the same time, governments worldwide are in the process of shaping appropriate policy responses in a rapidly evolving education landscape, while further developing or refining national strategies on AI, data protection, and other regulatory frameworks, according to UNESCO.

However, they are proceeding with caution. Risks to using these tools can see students exposed to false or biased information, some ministers said at the global meeting.

The debate revealed other common concerns, including how to mitigate the chatbots’ inherent flaws of producing glaring errors. Ministers also addressed how best to integrate these tools into curricula, teaching methods, and exams, and adapting education systems to the disruptions which generative AI is quickly causing.

Many highlighted the vital role teachers play in this new era as learning facilitators.

But, teachers need guidance and training to meet these challenges, according to UNESCO.

Adding to existing frameworks

Teachers need guidance and training to meet these challenges. — UNESCO

For its part, the agency will continue to steer the global dialogue with policy makers, partners, academia, and civil society, in line with its paper, AI and education: A guide for policy-makers and Recommendation on the Ethics of AI, as well as the Beijing Consensus on Artificial Intelligence and Education.

UNESCO is also developing policy guidelines on the use of generative AI in education and research, as well as frameworks of AI competencies for students and teachers for classrooms.

These new tools will be launched during Digital Learning Week, to be held at UNESCO Headquarters in Paris on 4 to 7 September, the agency said.

Learn more about UNESCO’s work in digital learning and education here.

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Ukraine: UN delivers aid to millions, as civilian suffering continues

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Ukraine: UN delivers aid to millions, as civilian suffering continues

Humanitarians reached 5.4 million people in Ukraine with desperately needed aid by April this year, including cash assistance, food, health services, and medicines, the UN said on Friday.

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‘Safe digital public square’ never more important, says Türk

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‘Safe digital public square’ never more important, says Türk

Volker Türk was issuing a clarion call to protect and expand civic space, arguing that it’s the only way to enable us all “to play a role in political, economic, and social life, at all levels, from local to global.”

Hate speech going unchecked

He said with more and more decision-making migrating online, “with private companies playing an outsized role, having an open, safe digital public square has never been more important”.

And yet, States are struggling and “often failing” to protect online space for the common good, “swinging between a laissez-faire approach that has allowed violence and dangerous hate speech to go unchecked, and overbroad regulations used as a cudgel against those exercising their free speech rights, including journalists and human rights defenders,” he added.

Invest in multilingual markets

He called on big business to step up and increase investment in preventing and responding to online harms, especially in the non-English language environment, stressing that “doing business in any location requires making sure you can do so safely, in line with the Guiding Principles on Business and Human Rights.”

The UN rights chief said that carving out civic space was key to human rights, to peace, development, and for “sustainable and resilient societies”, but coming under more and more pressure from undue restrictions, and laws.

This includes crackdowns on peaceful assembly, internet shutdowns and bullying and harassment online.

Expand space as a ‘precondition’

“States must step up efforts to protect and expand civic space as the precondition for people to be able to sustainably enjoy all other entitlements enshrined in the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, from access to healthcare and clean water and quality education to social protection and labour rights”, Mr. Türk  argued.

Pressure on civil space continues despite the inspiring commitment of civil society groups, he continued.

“Civil society is a key enabler of trust between governments and the populations they serve and is often the bridge between the two. For governments to reduce barriers to public participation, they must protect this space, for the benefit of all – both online and offline”.

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Weather experts predict ‘near normal’ season, with 5 to 9 potential hurricanes

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Weather experts predict ‘near normal’ season, with 5 to 9 potential hurricanes

The US National Hurricane Center acts as WMO’s Regional Specialized Meteorological hub, based in Miami, Florida.

There is a 40 per cent chance of a near-normal season, 30 per cent possibility of an “above-normal season”, and also 30 per cent of a below-normal season, according to forecasters with the Climate Prediction Center.

The hurricane season covering the Atlantic region, including the Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico and US east coast, lasts from 1 June to 30 November.

NOAA forecasts between 12 and 17 total named storms, which means winds of at least 63 kilometres per hour, or 39 miles per hour.

Up to 4 major hurricanes

Among the potential hurricanes, it forecasts one to four “major hurricanes” – categories three to five – with winds of at least 178kmh, or 111mph.

WMO said that NOAA has “a 70 per cent confidence in these ranges.

“It is expected to be less active than recent years, due to competing factors – some that suppress storm development and some that fuel it – driving this year’s overall forecast for a near-normal season, according to NOAA”, WMO reported in a press release.

The agency reminded however, that it takes just one landfalling major hurricane to set back years of growth and development.

Statistics presented to the ongoing World Meteorological Congress showed how Small Island Developing States suffer disproportionately in terms of both economic impact and the human toll.

Early warning imperative

For instance, Hurricane Maria in 2017, cost the Caribbean island nation of Dominica, a staggering 800 per cent of its Gross Domestic Product.
 
“Between 1970 and 2021 tropical cyclones (the generic term which includes hurricanes) were the leading cause of both reported human and economic losses worldwide, accounting for more than 2,000 disasters”, said WMO.

However, the death toll from deadly storms has fallen from around 350,000 in the 1970s to less than 20,000 in 2010-2019. Reported economic losses in 2010-2019 were at $573.2 billion.

‘Major killers’

“Tropical cyclones are major killers and a single storm can reverse years of socio-economic development. The death toll has fallen dramatically thanks to improvements in forecasting, warning and disaster risk reduction. But we can do even better,” said WMO Secretary-General Prof. Petteri Taalas.
 
“The UN Early Warnings for All initiative seeks to ensure that everyone has access to warnings of life-threatening winds, storm surge and rainfall in the next five years, especially in Small Island Developing States which are on the frontlines of climate change,” he said.

The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicts near-normal hurricane activity in the Atlantic for the 2023 season.

Name that storm

An average Atlantic hurricane season has 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes
 
In total, the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season produced 14 named storms, of which eight became hurricanes and two were major hurricanes (Ian and Fiona). Both 2020 and 2021 were so active that the regular list of rotating names was exhausted.
 
After three hurricane seasons with a La Niña, there is a high potential for El Nino to develop this summer, which can suppress Atlantic hurricane activity. El Nino’s potential influence on storm development could be offset by favorable conditions local to the tropical Atlantic Basin.

New model boosts prep time

“With a changing climate, the data and expertise NOAA provides to emergency managers and partners to support decision-making before, during and after a hurricane has never been more crucial,” said NOAA Administrator, Rick Spinrad.

“To that end, this year we are operationalizing a new hurricane forecast model and extending the tropical cyclone outlook graphic from five to seven days, which will provide emergency managers and communities with more time to prepare for storms.”

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