Time is running out for a deal to be struck between the UK and the European Union that must be in place by the end of the year, EU diplomats have warned as negotiators make a final effort to avoid deep upheaval to trade in seven weeks’ time.

                                                    <p class="no_name">There are expectations that the next 10 days will make or break the talks, deciding whether punishing tariffs will be levied on imports and exports between the EU and its former member state from January 1st, alongside wide-ranging disruption as prior agreements cease.</p>
                                                    <p class="no_name">“It’s already getting extremely late and may be too late already,” a senior diplomat said, if an agreement can be found “at all”.</p>
                                                    <p class="no_name">“This will be tight, and as the negotiations drag on we may have to see if we find some creative solution but it’s too early to discuss that at this stage,” the diplomat added.</p>
                                                    <p class="no_name">Negotiations moved to Brussels on Monday after a week of talks in London failed to reach a breakthrough, with pressure mounting from businesses to provide certainty over trade and logistical arrangements in the new year.</p>
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                                                                <h4 class="crosshead">Crash exit</h4><p class="no_name">Minister for Foreign Affairs <a class="search" href="/topics/topics-7.1213540?article=true&tag_person=Simon+Coveney" rel="nofollow">Simon Coveney</a> said preparations for a crash exit would become the priority if nothing had moved by the end of next week.</p>
                                                    <p class="no_name">“We really are in the last week to 10 days of this, if there is not a major breakthrough over the next week to 10 days then I think we really are in trouble and the focus will shift to preparing for a no-trade deal and all the disruption that that brings,” said Mr Coveney. </p>
                                                    <p class="no_name">“The British government understand only too well what’s required for a deal this week, the real question is whether the political appetite is there to do it. I think we will, that’s been my prediction for a while, but I won’t be shocked if it all falls apart.”</p>

                                                    <p class="no_name">A buffer of time is needed between the reaching of any agreement and the date it is due to start because it must go through a ratification process in the EU. Certain to run to hundreds of pages, the deal must be translated into the EU’s official languages so it can be scrutinised by national governments and members of the <a class="search" href="/topics/topics-7.1213540?article=true&tag_organisation=European+Parliament" rel="nofollow">European Parliament</a>. </p>
                                                    <p class="no_name">Any agreement requires a vote in favour in the parliament to come into force, and a vote has been provisionally pencilled in for December 16th. It’s possible that national parliaments may also have to vote on some aspects of the deal.</p>
                                                    <p class="no_name">A European Commission spokesman said disagreement persisted over the rights to fish in Britain’s economic waters, which the British negotiators have pushed to claim back entirely while granting allowances in yearly negotiations. The EU is negotiating for continued access for its fishing communities, arguing that Britain needs to sell the fish in its markets.</p>
                                                    <p class="no_name">“Fisheries is still one of the topics on which there is still quite a lot of divergence on the positions of the European Union and the <a class="search" href="/topics/topics-7.1213540?article=true&tag_location=United+Kingdom" rel="nofollow">United Kingdom</a>, ” said the spokesman.</p>
                                                    <p class="no_name">“We remain determined and we’ll show a lot of patience and respect in trying to strike an agreement.”</p>

Time is fast running out for Downing Street to get a post-Brexit trade deal with the EU, but Boris Johnson has entered isolation over a coronavirus contact and No 10 has been in turmoil.

Here is a look at the state of play in negotiations between No 10 and Brussels.

– Didn’t Johnson already ‘get Brexit done’?

Well, technically the UK did leave the EU on January 31st, but for most practical reasons it has not felt like it yet.

That is because the transition period has kept the UK a member of the single market and continuing to follow EU law, but that all comes to an end on December 31st.

The British prime minister’s “oven ready” deal still appears to be on defrost, and there are growing concerns that the UK could crash out of the bloc without a trade deal in place.

– Where do things stand?

Negotiations, this week taking place in Brussels, have been going on intensively in recent weeks but despite some signs of progress the two sides remain a long way from an agreement.

1/4 Arriving once again in Brussels shortly for another round of negotiations with EU and @MichelBarnier this afternoon.

I and our British?? team have been in talks almost every day since 22 October.

— David Frost (@DavidGHFrost) November 15, 2020

The sticking points continue to be fishing rights, how any deal would be governed and the “level playing field” measures to prevent unfair competition by cutting workers’ rights or environmental protections or by boosting state subsidies.

Mr Johnson’s official spokesman called for the EU to show more “realism” as he said “time is now very short” to bridge what he acknowledged are “significant differences”.

No 10’s chief negotiator, Lord Frost, insisted he would not be changing his position, saying that there is “only one” deal compatible with UK sovereignty and warning that “we may not succeed”.

His EU counterpart, Michel Barnier, said negotiators remain “determined” and “patient”.

– What’s the deadline for a deal?

Well,  Mr Johnson set one for October 15th, but that fell by the wayside as he failed to get a deal in place by then.

Deadlines in the Brexit saga have continually proved to be malleable, but the chance to extend the transition period past December 31st has been and gone, with Mr Johnson ruling that out.

???? The @vonderleyen @EU_Commission negotiating team is continuing negotiations in Brussels this week w/ @DavidGHFrost & team.

With @Europarl_EN & all Member States, we remain determined, patient, respectful.

We want our future cooperation to be open but fair in all areas. pic.twitter.com/l54suVhY0I

— Michel Barnier (@MichelBarnier) November 16, 2020

But the European Council summit on Thursday, to be held by video because of the coronavirus pandemic, has been touted as a deadline for a draft deal.

Even if negotiators do manage to find a way to break the deadlock, time will still be tight, with ratification needed by EU member states and the Parliaments of Westminster and the EU.

– Will the upheaval in No 10 affect talks?

The departure of Vote Leave architect Dominic Cummings as the prime minister’s chief adviser during a period of acrimony in Downing Street came in a key phase for negotiations.

No 10 has insisted that there will be no softening of the UK’s position despite his exit.

And Mr Johnson has insisted he is “as fit as a butcher’s dog” after coming into contact with a Tory MP who later tested positive for Covid-19, and that he will continue to “lead” on the fight against coronavirus while isolating for 14 days.

Short break from intense ???? negotiations in London.

Went looking for level playing fields… pic.twitter.com/2X4jbygorI

— Michel Barnier (@MichelBarnier) November 12, 2020

European Commission spokesman Eric Mamer also played down there being any impact from the isolation, saying that talks have been taking place between the Prime Minister and EU chief Ursula von der Leyen by phone.

– And what will happen if there is no trade deal?

Some areas, such as citizens’ rights, “divorce bill” payments and a protocol on Ireland, should be governed by the Withdrawal Agreement that Mr Johnson brokered with Brussels last year.

But businesses will face the high tariffs set by the Word Trade Organisation on goods travelling between the UK and the EU.

Firms already feared these could be crippling, and the ravages of the Covid-19 pandemic have only heightened those concerns.

The Government has insisted that it has backups in place to prevent any delay to the importation of a successful coronavirus vaccine from Europe.

Concerns remain of disruption to transport, delays for medicines at the border and of security threats, among many other areas.

But even if the UK does crash out of the bloc on December 31st, Brexit will be far from over as negotiations would likely continue with the EU and other nations.

According to The Washington Examiner, the European Commission has “opened a second antitrust investigation into Amazon’s business practices that might artificially favour its own retail offers and offers of marketplace sellers that use Amazon’s logistics and delivery services (the so-called ‘fulfilment by Amazon or FBA sellers’).”

In terms of the implications, The Wall Street Journal has reported that Amazon allegedly used data from third-party sellers to launch competing products.

Amazon has indicated that it disagrees with the European Commission’s assertions, adding, “no company cares more about small businesses or has done more to support them over the past two decades than Amazon.”

The European Union’s decision comes after Google was hit with anti-trust fines totalling nearly $10 billion. In addition, an investigation has been opened into Apple.

Colin Constable, CTO of data privacy and new internet protocol, The @ Company, has told Digital Journal that “Amazon works as a flywheel, getting more and more powerful by offering independents access to its enormous network.”

This type of growth carries consequences, as Constable explains: “An unfortunate outcome of this and other companies like them that enable access to their network of services is that they start tracking these businesses. ”

In terms of the ramifications, Constable outlines the implication: “While initially, these services enable small businesses, these companies pay a data tax for being too successful. It’s a data fiefdom of sorts. We applaud the European Union for taking a first step toward breaking the flywheel and freeing small businesses from this damaging long-term outcome.”

EUROPE. Over 20 associations have joined together to launch a series of proposals for the recovery and relaunch of the European aviation sector, with calls for the European Union (EU) and its Member States to take urgent action and offer financial and other support. Their proposals have been brought together in the European Aviation Round Table Report, published today.

The associations represent airlines, airports, air navigation service providers, aeronautical manufacturing, trade unions, non-governmental organisations for environmental and consumer action, service providers, ground handling services, the duty free & travel retail sector (via the ETRC), airport coordinators, general and business aviation, express carriers, travel agents, tour operators, travel distributors, and the tourism sector.

Key proposals include a European Aviation Relief Programme spanning the EU and its Member States, plus an EU Pact for Sustainable Aviation.

In a chapter on the EU internal market and reinforcing the strength of European aviation on the world stage, a key recommendation reads: “The EU should allow duty free on arrival at EU airports in order to increase airports’ international competitiveness.”

This supports recent calls from the ETRC and ACI Europe to introduce the channel to EU airports to help generate additional business and ‘level the playing field’ with non-EU markets in the post-COVID-era. It also reflects ETRC’s efforts to ensure the duty Free & travel retail sector was considered during the drafting of the report.

The Report notes the importance of “restoring the public’s confidence in aviation” as a priority in ensuring recovery. In addition, the report highlights vital elements such as maintaining connectivity, skills and employment and preserving the European internal market in ensuring aviation’s recovery from COVID-19 and making European aviation more resilient to future shocks.

The associations also announced a joint commitment to working with policy makers to achieve net zero CO2 emissions by 2050. This aims to build a greener, socially and economically robust future for aviation, while supporting the European Union’s Green Deal objectives.

EU leaders are urged to support an EU Pact for Sustainable Aviation by the end of 2021 “by contributing the policy and financial framework required to enable European aviation to deliver on its sustainability commitments”.

This will ensure that recovery efforts are compatible with European citizens’ expectations about cleaner transport, with aviation employees’ needs for a socially sustainable and responsible aviation sector balanced with aviation stakeholders’ desire for a robust, safe and coordinated recovery from the crisis, said the report.

To further reduce aviation’s environmental footprint and achieve decarbonisation, the Pact calls for, among others:

• – An EU legislative framework to promote the uptake, production and deployment of Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAFs);
• – Funding and investments to enable the acceleration of low-carbon aircraft innovations, such as electric and hydrogen;
• –  An incentive scheme for fleet renewal, coupled with retirement;
• – Increased public co-funding rates for Civil Aviation Research & Innovation (Clean Aviation and SESAR) through EU recovery mechanisms;
• – The revision of the Single European Sky (SES) and continuation of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme/ CORSIA.

European Commission Executive Vice President Margrethe Vestager said: “The aviation sector has been hit hard by the coronavirus outbreak. Since March, we have worked closely with Member States in their efforts to support this industry, which plays an important role in terms of jobs and connectivity. Today’s industry report provides important food for thought both for immediate issues and forward-looking challenges.

“Because environmental sustainability and the role of digitisation is a prerequisite for the modernisation and decarbonisation of the EU aviation system. In this unprecedented situation, we will continue our close cooperation with Member States and the aviation sector, to find workable solutions to mitigate the economic impact of the coronavirus outbreak, in line with EU rules.”

European Commissioner for Transport Adina Vălean said: “I welcome today’s report from the aviation sector and civil society on what is needed to rebuild passengers’ trust, and for the recovery of this hard-hit sector, which remains critical for global supply chains and people’s mobility. It offers a vision of how to make the sector stronger, more sustainable and more forward-looking than it was before the COVID-19 pandemic. I applaud the commitment to reach net-zero CO2 emissions by 2050, and the proposal to create a pact for social sustainability. This is fully in line with our ambitions for the future growth of the EU.”

The report’s authors note that Europe’s aviation sector supports almost 10 million jobs and €672 billion in European Union economic activity, including 4.2% of all EU jobs and 4.2% of the EU’s GDP.

They highlight the fact that aviation is a key economic sector which has been “hit first and hit hardest” by the COVID-19 crisis, and that requires urgent action to “put it back on a path towards a sustainable recovery and future, operationally, financially, socially and environmentally”.

The report also recognises that the aviation sector “cannot merely wait for a resumption of business as usual and that urgent action is required so that aviation can continue to be a primary enabler of our global economy in the future”.